India’s strategic leverage over the Indus River poses significant risks to Pakistan’s agricultural stability, which relies heavily on its waters. A recent report indicates that minor adjustments by India could drastically affect Pakistan’s already strained water supply, especially during critical months. Following the Pahalgam terror attack attributed to Pakistan-backed militants, India suspended the Indus Waters Treaty, asserting that any such measure would remain until Pakistan ceases its support for terrorism. This shift has heightened regional tensions, with China bolstering its support for Pakistan’s Mohmand Dam project as a countermeasure. Additionally, a new Pakistan-Saudi Arabia defense agreement hints at potential military support for Pakistan amidst escalating disputes, underscoring the fragile balance of power in South Asia where water security is increasingly intertwined with geopolitical alliances.