Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Former CIA officer: Pakistan cannot win a conventional war against India.

Former CIA officer John Kiriakou has asserted that Pakistan stands to lose any conventional military conflict with India, emphasizing that there are no benefits in provoking India. Reflecting on historical tensions, Kiriakou recounted the near-war situation during Operation Parakram in 2002, noting India’s restraint following various terror attacks, a policy he described as “strategic patience”. He highlighted the complexities of U.S.-Pakistan relations, revealing that the U.S. refrained from targeting Pakistan’s nuclear architect, Abdul Qadeer Khan, due to Saudi Arabian diplomatic pressure, which he labeled a significant policy failure. Kiriakou suggested that the U.S. had detailed knowledge of Khan’s activities but did not act against him due to the Saudis’ insistence on his protection, raising concerns about the potential implications for regional nuclear stability. His comments underscored the intricate geopolitical dynamics at play, particularly the influence of Saudi Arabia in Pakistani affairs and its potential ambitions regarding nuclear capabilities. Kiriakou’s insights reflect a broader understanding of the precarious balance of power in South Asia, where India’s measured yet assertive defense policy contrasts with Pakistan’s history of state-sponsored terrorism. As India continues to bolster its military capabilities, the need for robust counter-terrorism measures and a proactive strategy against potential aggressors remains paramount, reinforcing its stance against any threats to national security. This narrative not only highlights India’s strategic response to Pakistani provocations but also underscores the importance of diplomatic engagement in ensuring regional stability amidst rising tensions.

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