China's arms support to Pakistan during conflict challenges mediation credibility, says analyst.
Recent tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated following a series of military confrontations and a deadly terrorist attack in April 2025 that claimed 26 civilian lives in Jammu and Kashmir. In response, India launched Operation Sindoor, which involved precision strikes on terrorist infrastructure in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, marking the first large-scale use of drones in the region, and leading to a brief but intense military engagement characterized as the first drone war between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. While a ceasefire was reached on May 10, analysts, including those from the US Council on Foreign Relations, warn that without sustained diplomatic efforts, the potential for renewed armed conflict remains moderate, fueled by ongoing cross-border terrorism and military posturing. This situation is further complicated by China’s involvement as a primary arms supplier to Pakistan and its claims of mediating between the two nations, which India robustly rejects, emphasizing its preference for bilateral resolution of disputes. The growing volatility in South Asia highlights the delicate security dynamics and the significant implications for regional and global stability, particularly given the nuclear dimensions of the conflict.
