Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Israel strikes Lebanon ahead of crucial disarmament meeting on Hezbollah.

Israel’s air force has conducted strikes in southern and eastern Lebanon, targeting infrastructure associated with Hezbollah and Hamas ahead of a significant disarmament meeting scheduled for Thursday. The strikes included a substantial attack on a commercial building in Sidon, though it was uninhabited, resulting in at least one injury. This military action follows a recent history of escalated tensions, beginning with the latest conflict initiated by Hezbollah’s support for Hamas in October 2023. The Lebanese …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Iran's army chief warns of preemptive strike over U.S. threats.

Iran’s army chief, Maj Gen Amir Hatami, has threatened a preemptive military response to what he perceives as aggressive rhetoric from the United States, particularly in light of President Trump’s remarks regarding potential U.S. intervention amid ongoing protests in Iran. These protests, now in their 11th day, are fueled by economic discontent exacerbated by international sanctions and government policies leading to soaring inflation and currency devaluation. Hatami emphasized that Iran’s military readiness has improved significantly …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Trump's Greenland ambitions raise concerns over NATO's unity and stability.

The recent rhetoric from President Donald Trump regarding Greenland has sparked concerns about potential military action against Denmark, a NATO ally, which could destabilize the alliance. Despite warnings from Danish leaders and European officials that such a move would threaten NATO’s unity, Trump has reiterated that acquiring Greenland is a national security priority. While NATO diplomats suggest the U.S. can access Greenland under existing agreements, there is apprehension that merely raising the prospect of military …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Trump cites high tariffs as reason for Modi's dissatisfaction.

US President Donald Trump recently indicated that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is dissatisfied due to the high tariffs imposed by the US on Indian purchases of Russian oil, which he noted have reached 50 percent. During remarks at a House GOP Member Retreat, Trump mentioned that India has significantly reduced its Russian oil purchases and expressed a willingness to expedite the delivery of Apache helicopters, citing a five-year wait for the order of 68 units. …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Cuban envoy calls US Venezuela actions terrorism, praises India's global role.

Cuban Ambassador to India Juan Carlos Marsan Aguilera condemned the US military operation on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on narco-terrorism charges, labeling it a “criminal and terrorist act” violating the UN Charter and international law. Speaking to ANI on January 7 amid damage in Caracas, 32 Cuban deaths, and Havana’s two-day mourning, he decried US revival of the Monroe Doctrine treating Latin America as its …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

US prioritizes acquiring Greenland, military options considered amid Arctic tensions.

The Trump administration is reviving discussions around the potential acquisition of Greenland, emphasizing its strategic importance for U.S. national security in countering growing Russian and Chinese influence in the Arctic. Senior officials have stated that while diplomacy remains the preferred approach, military options are also being considered, a stance that has sparked significant backlash from European leaders who assert that Greenland’s sovereignty must be respected. The White House has indicated that discussions include possible outright …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

India's Russian oil imports reach €144 billion since Ukraine war.

India has imported €144 billion worth of Russian crude oil since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, emerging as the second-largest buyer after China, per recent Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) estimates released January 5-7, 2026. Russia peaked at supplying 35-40% of India’s imports by mid-2023, shifting reliance from Middle Eastern sources amid discounts, but U.S. sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil (effective November 22, 2025) prompted major refiners like …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Israel strikes Lebanon ahead of crucial Hezbollah disarmament meeting.

Israel conducted precision airstrikes on January 5-6, 2026, targeting Hezbollah and Hamas weapon storage sites in southern Lebanon, including a commercial building in Sidon, and eastern regions like al-Manara and Jezzine, resulting in at least two injuries but no fatalities. These strikes, issued after evacuation warnings, precede Lebanon’s cabinet meeting today, January 8, where army chief Gen. Rudolph Haikal will brief on Phase 1 disarmament south of the Litani River, originally due by end-2025 amid …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

EAM Jaishankar Foresees Stronger India-Luxembourg Ties by 2026

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar’s recent visit to Luxembourg highlighted the strengthening bilateral ties between India and the European Union amidst a shifting geopolitical landscape. In his meetings with Luxembourg’s leaders, including Prime Minister Luc Frieden and Deputy Prime Minister Xavier Bettel, Jaishankar emphasized the potential for collaboration in fintech, artificial intelligence, and space, asserting that both nations could benefit significantly from enhanced cooperation in these sectors. He acknowledged Luxembourg’s pivotal role within the EU …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Venezuela's oil revival could help ONGC recover $500 million dividends.

The potential revival of Venezuela’s oil sector, driven by U.S. investments, could benefit India’s ONGC, which has a 40% stake in the San Cristobal Project and hopes to recover $500 million in unpaid dividends since 2014. While India does not heavily import Venezuelan crude, a stabilization of Venezuela’s production could lower global crude prices, offering indirect benefits to the Indian economy. Experts indicate that a significant international investment of $30-35 billion over the next few …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Trump acknowledges Modi's concerns over tariffs and oil purchases, highlighting US-India tensions.

US President Donald Trump recently expressed that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is not pleased due to high tariffs imposed by the US on India’s imports of Russian oil. Trump highlighted that while India has made significant reductions in its Russian oil purchases, the tariffs—up to 50%—are still a point of contention, affecting bilateral economic relations. He noted that Modi is attempting to assuage these tensions, but emphasized that the US strategy aims to pressure …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

PoJK refugees urge PM Modi for military action to reclaim PoK.

On January 5, 2026, SOS International, led by Chairman Rajiv Chuni, wrote to Prime Minister Narendra Modi urging decisive military intervention to liberate Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir (PoJK), citing the US’s recent Operations Southern Spear and Absolute Resolve that captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro on narco-terrorism charges in early 2026. Representing tens of thousands displaced since the 1947 genocide of Hindus and Sikhs, the group highlighted PoJK’s role as a terrorism hub with training camps …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Think Tank Predicts 100,000 Chinese Troop Losses in Taiwan Invasion

A recent report from a US think tank anticipates that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could result in staggering casualties, estimating up to 100,000 Chinese troops could be lost due to effective Taiwanese and US military responses, alongside high costs for Taiwan and other nations involved. While the People’s Liberation Army may reach Taiwan’s shores, logistical challenges and sustained attrition are predicted to undermine their campaign, potentially leading to a withdrawal that acknowledges failure. The …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

China criticizes US Venezuela strike, urges respect for sovereignty.

Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Mao Ning condemned the recent US military strike in Venezuela, asserting that no nation has the right to act as the world’s police and emphasizing the importance of respecting state sovereignty. Following the operation, which resulted in the capture of deposed leader Nicolas Maduro, China called for peaceful resolution of disputes and highlighted the risks of escalating instability due to unilateral interventions. Beijing’s support for Venezuela reflects its stance against external …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

US targets Venezuela's Diosdado Cabello amid political transition efforts.

The U.S. administration is reportedly focusing on Diosdado Cabello, Venezuela’s hardline interior minister, as a potential target amid ongoing efforts to stabilize the country following the toppling of Nicolas Maduro. U.S. officials express concerns that Cabello’s influence could destabilize the transition under Interim President Delcy Rodriguez, whom they view as pivotal for U.S. interests, especially regarding oil and narcotics trade. The Trump administration’s strategy involves leveraging cooperation from Maduro’s loyalists while avoiding a chaotic power …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

European leaders reject Trump's Greenland claims, affirming sovereignty.

On January 6, 2026, leaders from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, and Britain collectively rejected US President Donald Trump’s threats to assert control over Greenland, emphasizing that the territory’s future is a matter for its people and Denmark to decide. This united European stance, articulated in a statement in Copenhagen, reinforces the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity as outlined in the UN Charter. The leaders also highlighted NATO’s critical role in Arctic defense …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

India Boosts Defense Exports and Ties with Southeast Asia Nations

India is enhancing its defense exports and strategic partnerships with Southeast Asian nations, notably Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam, amidst escalating maritime tensions in the South China Sea. Recent discussions between Indian Defense Minister Rajnath Singh and Indonesian officials have focused on the supply of BrahMos supersonic cruise missiles, positioning Indonesia as a key regional partner alongside the Philippines. These collaborations are aligned with India’s Act East Policy and aim to bolster regional security through …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Venezuela mobilizes military forces to counter perceived US aggression.

On January 6, 2026, Venezuela’s interim government, led by Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, mobilized the National Bolivarian Armed Forces in response to a recent US military operation that resulted in the capture of former President Nicolás Maduro. Defense Minister Gen. Vladimir Padrino López announced a high alert status for military and law enforcement units amid a declared state of commotion, emphasizing Venezuela’s commitment to national sovereignty against perceived US aggression. This escalation reflects Caracas’s intent …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Russia's Oreshnik missile unit operational in Belarus amid base enhancements.

Russia’s Defense Ministry confirmed the operational status of the Oreshnik intermediate-range hypersonic ballistic missile unit in Belarus, following a formal ceremony on December 30, 2025. This development aligns with satellite imagery revealing the construction of a strategic missile base, enhancing Russia’s military footprint near NATO’s eastern flank. Such advancements are significant as they could shift regional power dynamics, prompting India to consider bolstering its own missile defense capabilities in response to evolving security challenges within …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Train derailment disrupts North Korean military supply route for Russia.

A significant train derailment occurred in Russia’s Amur region on the Transbaikal Railway, a critical route for transporting North Korean military supplies to support Russia’s operations in Ukraine. The crash, which involved 35 freight wagons, has raised concerns about potential sabotage amid ongoing hostilities. As investigations unfold, the incident spotlights the increasingly complex alliance between North Korea and Russia, particularly as North Korean troops are reportedly being deployed in combat roles alongside Russian forces. This …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

China showcases hypersonic missile capabilities in military drills, escalating regional tensions.

China has showcased its hypersonic missile capabilities during recent military drills, emphasizing its DF-17 missile, which features a hypersonic glide vehicle designed to evade missile defenses. This demonstration aligns with China’s broader strategy to modernize its military and challenge the U.S. across the Pacific. The Pentagon warns that China’s rapid advancements in hypersonic technology, along with its substantial missile arsenal, are intended to counteract U.S. military presence and strengthen its strategic position in regional conflicts, …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

General Upendra Dwivedi visits Sri Lanka to enhance defense ties.

Chief of Army Staff (COAS) General Upendra Dwivedi embarked on an official visit to Sri Lanka on January 7, following his trip to the UAE, to strengthen bilateral defense cooperation and military ties. His visit is part of Operation Sagar Bandhu, initiated to provide humanitarian aid to Sri Lanka during Cyclone Ditwah. General Dwivedi’s agenda includes discussions with senior Sri Lankan military and civil leaders, addressing training cooperation and regional security at key military institutions, …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

German Chancellor Merz to Visit India for Trade and Tech Talks

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is set to visit India on January 12-13, focusing on trade, technology, and geopolitical relations amidst ongoing tariff tensions with the United States. His itinerary includes stops in Ahmedabad and Bengaluru, reflecting India’s strategic push to enhance economic engagement with Europe. This visit is significant as it underscores India’s efforts to diversify its trade partnerships and strengthen ties with European nations, thereby bolstering its position in global geopolitics. The outcomes of …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Trump's aggressive foreign policy threatens Colombia and Greenland's stability.

Following the recent U.S. military operation in Venezuela, President Donald Trump has escalated threats against Colombia and Greenland, indicating a more aggressive foreign policy stance. Trump accused Colombian President Gustavo Petro of being complicit in the cocaine trade, suggesting military intervention, while also renewing claims to Greenland, citing national security concerns linked to Russian and Chinese presence in the Arctic. Internationally, Denmark and the EU condemned Trump’s rhetoric, asserting sovereignty over Greenland, while concerns were …

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Geopolitics and Security Alliances

Bolton: Trump's tariffs harm India ties, undermining strategic partnership.

Former US National Security Advisor John Bolton criticized President Trump’s tariff threats against India as detrimental to US-India relations and strategically incoherent amidst rising tensions with China. Bolton emphasized the need for stronger collaboration with India, Japan, and other allies in the Indo-Pacific to effectively counter Chinese assertiveness. He argued that penalizing India for its Russian oil purchases undermines the broader strategic partnership essential to balancing China’s influence. Bolton suggested that renewed direct dialogue between …

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