A recent report from a US think tank anticipates that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could result in staggering casualties, estimating up to 100,000 Chinese troops could be lost due to effective Taiwanese and US military responses, alongside high costs for Taiwan and other nations involved. While the People’s Liberation Army may reach Taiwan’s shores, logistical challenges and sustained attrition are predicted to undermine their campaign, potentially leading to a withdrawal that acknowledges failure. The document underscores concerns about Beijing’s increasing reliance on coercive tactics in the region, especially given the prohibitive costs of full-scale invasion, and highlights the international community’s likely cautious response, particularly in a minor conflict scenario. This analysis reflects ongoing geopolitical tensions and the need for robust defense strategies in the Indo-Pacific region.