Recent insights from South Asia expert Michael Kugelman emphasize the imperative for India to adopt a robust strategy in response to the U.S. imposing a 50% tariff on Indian imports, particularly targeting its substantial purchases of Russian oil. The tariffs, which pose a significant threat to India’s exports to the U.S., estimated at around $87 billion annually, are linked to broader geopolitical tensions, specifically the ongoing war in Ukraine. Kugelman advocates for India to fortify trade relations beyond the U.S., notably with the European Union, as a means of diversifying its economic partnerships and mitigating the adverse impacts of these tariffs. He also notes that escalating regional security concerns, highlighted by recent comments from Pakistan’s Army Chief regarding nuclear threats, underscore the necessity for a dual-focused Indian strategy that combines economic resilience with diplomatic firmness. Additionally, the potential for a ceasefire in Ukraine, contingent upon negotiations between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin, could alleviate pressure on India by reducing the justification for the tariffs. India’s Foreign Ministry has firmly opposed these tariffs, asserting that they are unjustified and emphasizing a continued commitment to safeguarding national interests amidst this complex geopolitical landscape.